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Are Sovereign Wealth Funds Shifting Capital out of CRE?
For over a decade sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), like Norway’s Government Pension Fund Global (GPFG) and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA), have been among the biggest investors in the commercial real estate (CRE) market — striking deals that have shaped sectors from office and retail to hospitality and industrial.
According to a recent Bisnow article, however, 2024 might see these government-owned investment giants hit the brakes, as high interest rates continue to add to challenges in the dealmaking landscape.
Returns and allocations dropping
Bisnow quotes data from real estate capital advisory Hodes Weill, stating that SWFs are expected to cut allocations to real estate from 7.5% to 7.2% this year. For many the driving force behind those cuts is the combination of higher interest rates and lower returns.
Some of the largest entities, including Norway’s GPFG and Canada’s Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments) saw double-digit negative returns in 2023. Others like Oxford, the real estate arm of the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System (OMERS), have cut allocations in addition to divesting around USD3.5 billion in industrial assets as well as “a number of large office buildings” since 2022.
Contrasting figures
But while the above might suggest a strong downward trajectory, it’s worth noting that different sources provide varying appraisals of the situation.
Quoting data from research firm Global SWF, Bisnow notes that “The amount [SWFs] spent on real estate fell 40% in 2023 to $32B,” adding however that: “The 26% of the funds’ overall spending made up by real estate is higher than the 20% figure the previous year.”
A closer look at Global SWF’s 2024 Annual Report shows that a large chunk of the amount invested in 2022 fell within the residential sector. 2023’s allocation to residential was much lower (dropping the overall figure), but the amounts spent on commercial sectors overall remains largely similar between years.
Meanwhile, research by the International Forum of Sovereign Wealth Funds (IFSWF) shows a slow but steady uptick in CRE investment since 2019. IFSWF states: “In 2023, sovereign wealth funds invested $14.8 billion in 39 real estate deals. These totals represent a significant increase from the $10.9 billion invested in 2022, marking the highest total value since 2017.”
Worth noting is that IFSWF’s total at USD14.8 billion is a lot lower than the numbers provided by Global SWF, likely due to differing criteria around which funds are included in each report.
Shifting sectors
As we’ve seen in CRE markets elsewhere, a key change shown in IFSWF’s data lies in levels of investment into specific subsectors. Data centers and logistics facilities continued to dominate SWF investment growth last year while co-working and mixed-use spaces saw drop-offs.
Other sectors, like hospitality, have held steady, largely driven by key investments from the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) and Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund’s (PIF) ongoing investment into the NEOM mega-project.
Ongoing interest in “tangible assets”
Taken together, the data from these sources seems to indicate continued interest from SWF’s in the opportunities presented by solid CRE investments. While the nature of those opportunities might change from year-to-year, the long-term fundamentals of the commercial property market are still attracting the attention of these mega-investors in 2024.
IFSWF sums up: “The resurgence of real estate and infrastructure investments, which comprised 40% of all sovereign wealth funds’ direct investments in 2023, underscores their growing appetite for tangible assets amid market uncertainties and inflationary pressures.”
SOCIAL: Brokers: How have large investment deals shaped the market in your area over the past year? And what impact has this had on overall dealmaking volume?
https://pilotonline.com/business/consumer/article_9bbb70c7-d0c1-5709-8311-80aca1f570b7.html
Newest Member of the NAI Global Team.
Facebook to build $1 billion data center in eastern Henrico County
Facebook to build $1 billion data center in eastern Henrico County
Do Designations Matter When Choosing A Commercial Real Estate Broker?

Chad Griffiths, a partner with NAI Commercial Real Estate in Edmonton, Canada, looks at the benefits of obtaining a CCIM or SIOR designation. Many Agents and Brokers in NAI Dominion and our affiliate firms in NAI Global have one or both designations. We would highly recommend working towards obtaining the designation right for you as it will only help you and your clients and customers.
Investment Sale – Chesapeake, Virginia
Tips When Negotiating Your Commercial Lease
Have an Ally at the Table
A tenant rep is a major asset during lease negotiations. With their knowledge of the market, they know what’s fair and what’s not and can provide valuable input during talks. Best of all, their services won’t cost you a dime, as your landlord pays their fees.Envision What You Want
You can’t negotiate effectively if you don’t know what you’re fighting for. Before you head into talks, carefully peruse the contract and have key members of your team such as your tenant rep, attorney and accountant do the same. Identify areas of the contract that need to be changed for the document to be acceptable. Then, create a prioritized list of things that you would ideally like to have added, changed or eliminated. Be prepared to give up less important items.Know What’s Negotiable
Knowing where there is flexibility in contracts can help you create the aforementioned wish list. The following are some of the most common points of negotiation for commercial leases:- Base rent rates. You can often negotiate a lower rental rate by extending the length of your lease.
- Tenant improvement allowances. Landlords may be willing to spend more on improvements to customize or enhance your space, especially if they will increase the value of their property.
- Rent increase caps. If there is no cap on the amount that your rent can increase at renewal, argue for one. You can also ask to have an existing cap set lower, especially if it is out of line with the average increase rate in your area.
- Right to sublease. Having the ability to lease all or part of your space to another company can help to future-proof your lease.
- Multiplying factor. Ask the landlord to explain how the multiplying factor is calculated. This figure determines how you are charged rent for the shared square footage in the building, and it can often be negotiated.
- Rights of first refusal and first offer. Adding these clauses to your lease ensures that you’ll have a chance to lease any new space in the building that becomes available and that you will have the opportunity to renew your lease before your landlord offers it to a new tenant.
Do Your Homework
Having facts and figures about the commercial real estate market in your area at the ready can give you leverage at the negotiating table. Find out what the average rental rate is for your area and what types of terms similar companies are given. It’s also helpful to know what amenities and perks competitor buildings offer. Don Catalano of REoptimizer outlined these tips for negotiating a commercial lease.Why NAI Dominion and NAI Global?
I am often asked why we partnered with NAI Global to expand out brokerage services. The link below helps to outline a few of the reason we partnered with NAI Global to grow our opportunities and success for our clients, customers, and tenants.
Check out the link below and let us know what you think.
NAI Dominion – NAI Global Opportunity Video
Why Use a Tenant Broker
You have a lot to do when you’re searching for commercial real estate to rent. The last thing you want to do is add something else to the list, but finding and enlisting the help of a tenant rep broker isn’t something you should skip. Tenant rep brokers are invaluable when you’re securing office space to rent. Here are just a few of the reasons why: